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Red99
702219.0
368337.9
926216.2
Blue76
583412.2
497634.7
808922.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747550607080901009976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.0
38.040.1
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
red by 3.2
4976
#16
34.70.6
31.332.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Second
7022
#50
19.02.0
17.819.9
Auto9.7
Teleop7.3
End2.0
blue by 3.4
8089
#31
22.40.6
23.424.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.0
End2.7
Third
9262
#10
16.22.0
12.714.7
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5
red by 4.0
5834
#29
12.20.6
11.912.5
Auto8.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned19%Ensemble oddsMissed