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Red43
270811.4
285220.4
587010.1
Blue51
808125.4
567212.9
375616.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4163020801004351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2852
#37
20.40.2
17.417.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.3
blue by 5.0
8081
#19
25.40.6
24.824.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
Second
2708
#40
11.40.2
12.212.4
Auto3.1
Teleop7.3
End1.0
blue by 5.2
3756
#36
16.60.6
17.316.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
5870
#48
10.10.2
10.510.7
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 2.8
5672
#43
12.90.6
12.712.1
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed