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Red61
260920.2
136021.3
748016.7
Blue73
97827.2
111430.9
130529.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59752040801001206173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#17
21.30.4
19.319.7
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 9.6
1114
#14
30.90.5
30.030.5
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Second
2609
#15
20.20.4
18.919.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 9.0
29.30.5
29.329.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.0
End2.6
Third
7480
#49
16.70.4
16.817.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.5
End1.0
red by 9.5
9782
#28
7.20.5
6.57.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed