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Red82
468817.3
260920.2
373923.4
Blue98
220038.5
771224.0
567212.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6181020401001201408298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#44
23.40.9
22.223.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 15.1
38.50.8
36.136.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
2609
#15
20.20.9
19.320.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End1.6
blue by 3.7
24.00.8
22.523.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
Third
4688
#23
17.30.9
16.417.3
Auto2.9
Teleop12.8
End1.6
red by 4.5
5672
#43
12.90.8
12.012.9
Auto2.4
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned