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Red47
614016.2
687512.4
747514.3
Blue48
97827.2
375616.6
705821.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49494244464850525456584748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6140
#18
16.20.5
16.716.2
Auto4.3
Teleop9.3
End2.6
blue by 5.1
7058
#41
21.20.2
21.021.2
Auto8.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
7475
#35
14.30.5
14.714.3
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End-0.2
blue by 2.3
3756
#36
16.60.2
16.316.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Third
6875
#42
12.40.5
12.912.4
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End0.2
red by 5.2
9782
#28
7.20.2
7.07.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed