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Red71
293526.7
503111.4
497634.7
Blue91
77221.9
285220.4
136021.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826220401001201407191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4976
#16
34.70.0
33.233.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
red by 12.8
772
#20
21.91.6
20.321.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.3
End2.8
Second
26.70.0
26.926.9
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
red by 5.5
1360
#17
21.31.6
19.721.3
Auto6.3
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
5031
#34
11.40.0
11.411.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End2.0
blue by 9.0
2852
#37
20.41.6
18.119.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed