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Red73
78125.0
808125.4
270224.5
Blue109
205659.5
434326.2
713616.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76118406010014016073109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8081
#19
25.40.7
24.623.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3
blue by 34.1
59.50.2
59.959.7
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
Second
781
#27
25.00.7
25.024.3
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 1.2
4343
#22
26.20.2
25.725.5
Auto7.9
Teleop17.8
End0.5
Third
2702
#45
24.50.7
24.423.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
red by 8.4
7136
#30
16.00.2
16.216.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed83%Ensemble oddsEarned