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Red119
373923.4
494636.8
124122.3
Blue75
78125.0
888425.6
926216.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions987005015020011975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.3
37.837.5
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
red by 11.3
8884
#13
25.60.1
25.425.6
Auto7.6
Teleop15.3
End2.7
Second
3739
#44
23.40.3
24.324.0
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 1.7
781
#27
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto11.6
Teleop12.0
End1.4
Third
1241
#32
22.30.3
23.323.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1
red by 6.2
9262
#10
16.20.1
16.016.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.5
End2.5