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Red103
111430.9
270224.5
368337.9
Blue118
220038.5
497634.7
808125.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021076080120140103118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
blue by 0.6
38.50.3
37.637.9
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
1114
#14
30.90.2
30.730.9
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
blue by 3.8
4976
#16
34.70.3
33.834.1
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Third
2702
#45
24.50.2
24.224.5
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9
blue by 0.9
8081
#19
25.40.3
24.624.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3