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Red117
720018.5
771224.0
540630.8
Blue102
124122.3
494636.8
373923.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78964060120140160180117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
30.731.3
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
blue by 6.0
36.80.2
37.637.8
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
Second
24.00.5
23.924.4
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
red by 0.6
3739
#44
23.40.2
24.124.3
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
Third
7200
#26
18.50.5
18.419.0
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 3.8
1241
#32
22.30.2
23.123.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1