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Red141
205659.5
978523.4
467837.1
Blue91
368337.9
270224.5
111430.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1389805015020014191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.50.1
59.559.7
Auto22.1
Teleop33.4
End4.0
red by 21.5
37.90.2
37.837.7
Auto15.7
Teleop19.3
End2.9
Second
37.10.1
37.237.3
Auto13.7
Teleop17.5
End5.9
red by 6.2
1114
#14
30.90.2
30.830.7
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End1.5
Third
9785
#33
23.40.1
23.523.6
Auto6.4
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 1.1
2702
#45
24.50.2
24.424.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End1.9