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Red92
86529.3
293526.7
238627.3
Blue112
220038.5
497634.7
808125.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910740608010012014016092112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#12
29.30.1
29.229.3
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
blue by 9.2
38.50.4
37.337.6
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
2386
#11
27.30.1
27.227.3
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
blue by 7.4
4976
#16
34.70.4
33.533.8
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Third
26.70.1
26.726.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1
red by 1.3
8081
#19
25.40.4
24.224.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3