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Red125
373923.4
494636.8
124122.3
Blue124
220038.5
497634.7
808125.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88106406080100120140160125124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.80.9
36.737.6
Auto13.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 1.6
38.50.3
36.937.3
Auto12.5
Teleop19.9
End6.2
Second
3739
#44
23.40.9
23.224.1
Auto9.2
Teleop14.1
End0.1
blue by 11.3
4976
#16
34.70.3
33.133.5
Auto11.9
Teleop20.0
End2.8
Third
1241
#32
22.30.9
22.123.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.7
End0.1
blue by 3.1
8081
#19
25.40.3
23.824.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.1
End2.3