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Red104
720018.5
771224.0
540630.8
Blue74
238627.3
293526.7
86529.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779520406012014016010474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.5
30.230.7
Auto9.8
Teleop15.6
End5.5
red by 1.5
865
#12
29.30.2
29.429.2
Auto12.0
Teleop14.5
End2.8
Second
24.00.5
23.423.9
Auto10.5
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 3.3
2386
#11
27.30.2
27.427.2
Auto9.2
Teleop16.2
End1.9
Third
7200
#26
18.50.5
17.918.4
Auto7.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
blue by 8.2
26.70.2
26.926.7
Auto11.8
Teleop13.8
End1.1