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Red50
876421.1
616219.6
750913.7
Blue53
755832.6
872924.7
958015.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5372204060801001205053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8764
#37
21.10.3
18.918.6
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
blue by 11.6
7558
#18
32.60.6
26.125.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Second
6162
#30
19.60.3
17.216.9
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
blue by 5.1
8729
#17
24.70.6
20.119.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Third
7509
#46
13.70.3
14.314.0
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 1.3
9580
#21
15.00.6
16.615.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed