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Red48
131019.2
611012.3
430816.9
Blue42
540931.8
495115.2
128522.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45652040801001204842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1310
#39
19.20.0
16.816.8
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 12.6
31.81.3
28.427.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Second
4308
#24
16.90.0
15.415.4
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 5.3
1285
#11
22.21.3
16.515.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Third
6110
#31
12.30.0
11.111.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
blue by 2.9
4951
#29
15.21.3
11.410.2
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed