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Red41
201318.6
765914.8
85748.9
Blue57
956913.3
956210.5
591226.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3559020801001204157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2013
#45
18.60.3
16.316.6
Auto8.6
Teleop9.5
End0.5
blue by 8.1
5912
#10
26.70.4
24.925.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Second
7659
#41
14.80.3
10.110.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.5
9569
#22
13.30.4
10.410.9
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Third
8574
#50
8.90.3
8.08.3
Auto6.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.1
blue by 1.6
9562
#42
10.50.4
15.115.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed