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Red50
490319.7
873112.2
406923.1
Blue46
906225.8
219815.2
790216.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545802040801001201405046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.1
16.816.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 2.7
9062
#27
25.80.4
21.421.0
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Second
4903
#23
19.70.1
20.120.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 3.1
7902
#36
16.50.4
11.711.3
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Third
8731
#44
12.20.1
12.012.1
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 3.1
2198
#48
15.20.4
18.818.4
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed