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Red77
491732.3
85748.9
490319.7
Blue50
873112.2
490734.1
131019.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6063203040507080901007750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.4
27.829.1
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
blue by 1.8
4907
#16
34.10.5
28.427.9
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Second
4903
#23
19.71.4
18.419.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 0.5
1310
#39
19.20.5
16.415.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Third
8574
#50
8.91.4
8.39.7
Auto6.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.1
blue by 3.3
8731
#44
12.20.5
12.111.6
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed