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Red43
750913.7
613515.1
430816.9
Blue62
406923.1
133420.8
40159.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494410203040607080904362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4308
#24
16.90.3
16.316.0
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
blue by 6.2
23.10.8
15.916.7
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Second
6135
#47
15.10.3
15.214.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 5.8
1334
#32
20.80.8
18.018.8
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
7509
#46
13.70.3
12.612.3
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
red by 4.5
4015
#35
9.30.8
6.67.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned