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Red39
872924.7
499215.0
270627.8
Blue62
591226.7
909831.4
958015.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598020401001203962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
27.81.2
25.224.1
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 3.7
31.41.0
29.128.1
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Second
8729
#17
24.71.2
19.017.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
blue by 2.0
5912
#10
26.71.0
25.424.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Third
4992
#38
15.01.2
12.010.9
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Level
9580
#21
15.01.0
15.714.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned34%Ensemble oddsMissed