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Red67
906225.8
876421.1
503615.5
Blue56
492028.6
699218.1
765914.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions535802040801001206756

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#27
25.81.2
21.622.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 2.9
4920
#40
28.60.1
22.022.2
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
Second
8764
#37
21.11.2
15.616.9
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
red by 3.0
6992
#49
18.10.1
18.919.1
Auto9.7
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Third
5036
#28
15.51.2
11.312.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
red by 0.7
7659
#41
14.80.1
11.011.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed