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Red37
872924.7
494016.6
40159.3
Blue47
611012.3
873112.2
128522.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413402060803747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8729
#17
24.70.0
14.614.7
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 2.5
1285
#11
22.21.0
11.812.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
Second
4940
#34
16.60.0
13.613.7
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 4.4
6110
#31
12.31.0
8.99.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
Third
4015
#35
9.30.0
8.28.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 2.9
8731
#44
12.21.0
11.312.3
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed