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Red43
354312.6
270627.8
956913.3
Blue77
752021.7
502427.3
430816.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517502040601001201404377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
27.81.7
25.523.8
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
red by 0.4
5024
#14
27.30.3
30.930.7
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
9569
#22
13.31.7
11.09.3
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 8.4
7520
#26
21.70.3
17.817.5
Auto9.4
Teleop9.0
End3.3
Third
3543
#43
12.61.7
12.510.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 4.3
4308
#24
16.90.3
16.516.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed