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Red46
750913.7
956210.5
316135.1
Blue82
906225.8
132533.4
263426.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717740601001204682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3161
#20
35.11.3
38.337.0
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
red by 1.7
33.40.8
28.329.2
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
7509
#46
13.71.3
12.811.5
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 12.7
26.40.8
18.719.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
Third
9562
#42
10.51.3
14.313.0
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 15.3
9062
#27
25.80.8
22.323.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed