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Red68
133420.8
490319.7
591226.7
Blue84
415234.5
699218.1
491732.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6585020401001206884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#10
26.70.4
24.825.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 7.8
4152
#12
34.50.6
28.028.6
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
Second
1334
#32
20.80.4
20.220.6
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 11.5
32.30.6
28.629.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Third
4903
#23
19.70.4
16.517.0
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 1.6
6992
#49
18.10.6
18.118.8
Auto9.7
Teleop5.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned