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Red44
499215.0
406923.1
219815.2
Blue66
616219.6
540931.8
85748.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466302040801001204466

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.10.3
16.215.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 8.7
31.80.6
28.427.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Second
2198
#48
15.20.3
17.617.2
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 4.3
6162
#30
19.60.6
18.217.6
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
Third
4992
#38
15.00.3
9.99.6
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
red by 6.1
8574
#50
8.90.6
8.57.9
Auto6.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed