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Red41
588531.2
503615.5
495115.2
Blue96
447637.7
697828.7
755832.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50920204060801001201404196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.6
28.627.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
blue by 6.5
37.71.2
27.528.7
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Second
5036
#28
15.50.6
12.912.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 17.1
7558
#18
32.61.2
25.326.5
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
Third
4951
#29
15.20.6
9.18.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
blue by 13.6
6978
#19
28.71.2
25.226.4
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed