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Red48
492028.6
613515.1
354312.6
Blue100
131019.2
876421.1
403942.4
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4885020406010012014048100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#40
28.60.0
22.822.7
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
blue by 13.8
42.41.5
37.438.9
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
6135
#47
15.10.0
14.714.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 6.0
8764
#37
21.11.5
18.319.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
3543
#43
12.60.0
10.810.8
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 6.6
1310
#39
19.21.5
17.018.5
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed