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Red66
270627.8
494016.6
699218.1
Blue79
132533.4
909831.4
956913.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67822040601001201406679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
27.80.3
27.227.4
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 5.7
33.40.4
30.631.0
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
Second
6992
#49
18.10.3
18.718.9
Auto9.7
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 13.4
31.40.4
31.732.2
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
Third
4940
#34
16.60.3
16.416.6
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
red by 3.3
9569
#22
13.30.4
10.410.8
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed