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Red80
263426.4
430816.9
872924.7
Blue52
219815.2
613515.1
490734.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54690204060801001208052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.0
19.521.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
blue by 7.7
4907
#16
34.10.5
28.427.8
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
Second
8729
#17
24.72.0
14.716.6
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
red by 9.4
2198
#48
15.20.5
17.216.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Third
4308
#24
16.92.0
16.218.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.3
End1.7
red by 1.8
6135
#47
15.10.5
14.614.1
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed