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Red77
503615.5
40159.3
61031.3
Blue46
85748.9
18821.1
876421.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801007746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#13
31.30.6
28.228.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
red by 10.2
188
#25
21.10.5
10.911.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
Second
5036
#28
15.50.6
12.212.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 5.5
8764
#37
21.10.5
19.820.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
Third
4015
#35
9.30.6
8.28.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 0.4
8574
#50
8.90.5
7.98.4
Auto6.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed