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Red66
491732.3
611012.3
492028.6
Blue80
588531.2
40159.3
591226.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6969505560657580856680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.1
29.729.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
red by 1.1
31.20.6
29.129.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
Second
4920
#40
28.60.1
23.823.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
red by 2.0
5912
#10
26.70.6
23.924.5
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Third
6110
#31
12.30.1
9.59.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
red by 3.0
4015
#35
9.30.6
8.89.4
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed