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Red71
755832.6
354312.6
571926.1
Blue79
956210.5
270627.8
540931.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6475020401001201407179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#18
32.60.8
26.227.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
red by 0.9
31.80.1
28.928.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Second
5719
#33
26.10.8
21.922.7
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End0.4
blue by 1.6
2706
#15
27.80.1
23.823.8
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
3543
#43
12.60.8
10.811.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 2.1
9562
#42
10.50.1
13.513.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned