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Red23
354312.6
219815.2
958015.0
Blue61
611012.3
591226.7
697828.7
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4574020601001201402361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2198
#48
15.21.4
15.714.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
blue by 13.5
6978
#19
28.70.2
29.729.5
Auto11.8
Teleop15.6
End1.3
Second
9580
#21
15.01.4
16.715.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 11.7
5912
#10
26.70.2
24.524.3
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
Third
3543
#43
12.61.4
11.610.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 0.3
6110
#31
12.30.2
9.69.4
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed