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Red64
495115.2
490319.7
699218.1
Blue114
447637.7
571926.1
270627.8
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292020608010012014016064114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4903
#23
19.71.3
16.217.5
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 18.0
37.72.5
30.432.9
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Second
6992
#49
18.11.3
18.720.0
Auto9.7
Teleop5.4
End3.0
blue by 9.7
2706
#15
27.82.5
23.826.3
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Third
4951
#29
15.21.3
9.010.3
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
blue by 11.0
5719
#33
26.12.5
22.725.2
Auto8.2
Teleop17.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed