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Red82
490319.7
958015.0
490734.1
Blue83
40159.3
403942.4
906225.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68812040601001208283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#16
34.11.3
30.231.5
Auto12.9
Teleop16.7
End4.5
blue by 8.4
42.40.6
39.039.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
Second
4903
#23
19.71.3
17.518.8
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
blue by 6.1
9062
#27
25.80.6
24.124.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Third
9580
#21
15.01.3
15.316.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
red by 5.7
4015
#35
9.30.6
8.79.3
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed