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Red83
270627.8
591226.7
406923.1
Blue92
494016.6
316135.1
588531.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75902040601001201408392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2706
#15
27.80.9
26.327.2
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
blue by 7.3
3161
#20
35.10.8
33.634.4
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
5912
#10
26.70.9
24.325.2
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End2.5
blue by 4.5
31.20.8
30.130.9
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
Third
23.10.9
19.120.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 6.4
4940
#34
16.60.8
16.317.1
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsEarned