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Red77
613515.1
415234.5
873112.2
Blue80
61031.3
354312.6
495115.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801007780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
34.51.5
30.632.1
Auto14.0
Teleop13.2
End7.3
red by 3.2
610
#13
31.32.1
28.730.8
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
Second
6135
#47
15.11.5
14.215.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
blue by 0.1
4951
#29
15.22.1
10.312.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
Third
8731
#44
12.21.5
9.711.2
Auto6.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 0.4
3543
#43
12.62.1
10.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed