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Red46
956210.5
492028.6
131019.2
Blue60
219815.2
18821.1
133420.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645402040801001201401604660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#40
28.60.7
25.124.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
red by 7.5
188
#25
21.10.3
14.815.1
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
Second
1310
#39
19.20.7
18.617.9
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
blue by 1.7
1334
#32
20.80.3
21.121.4
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
9562
#42
10.50.7
12.912.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 4.8
2198
#48
15.20.3
14.314.7
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed