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Red55
750913.7
956913.3
790216.5
Blue116
491732.3
503615.5
540931.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309002040608010012014055116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7902
#36
16.51.4
12.714.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.3
blue by 15.8
32.30.8
31.232.0
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
7509
#46
13.71.4
11.913.2
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
blue by 18.0
31.80.8
29.630.4
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
Third
9569
#22
13.31.4
9.711.1
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 2.2
5036
#28
15.50.8
13.314.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned