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Red106
128522.2
263426.4
755832.6
Blue55
499215.0
765914.8
502427.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725302040608010012014016010655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7558
#18
32.62.9
27.130.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.0
End3.3
red by 5.3
5024
#14
27.30.3
27.728.0
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Second
26.42.9
21.724.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End2.6
red by 11.3
4992
#38
15.00.3
11.111.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
Third
1285
#11
22.22.9
14.317.2
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 7.4
7659
#41
14.80.3
11.411.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed