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Red86
132533.4
958015.0
447637.7
Blue64
61031.3
131019.2
219815.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9466501508664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.1
34.934.8
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
red by 6.4
610
#13
31.30.6
30.830.2
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End-0.2
Second
33.40.1
30.730.6
Auto8.2
Teleop22.7
End2.5
red by 14.3
1310
#39
19.20.6
17.917.4
Auto6.4
Teleop9.7
End3.0
Third
9580
#21
15.00.1
16.516.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 0.2
2198
#48
15.20.6
14.714.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed