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Red71
956210.5
588531.2
490319.7
Blue33
613515.1
494016.6
956913.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724502060801001201407133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.1
30.930.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.1
End2.5
red by 14.5
4940
#34
16.60.7
17.116.4
Auto5.9
Teleop9.0
End1.7
Second
4903
#23
19.70.1
18.818.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
red by 4.6
6135
#47
15.10.7
15.715.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.4
End1.5
Third
9562
#42
10.50.1
12.112.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End1.1
blue by 2.8
9569
#22
13.30.7
11.110.4
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsMissed