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Red67
492028.6
201318.6
499215.0
Blue69
503615.5
872924.7
354312.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585102040801001201401606769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4920
#40
28.61.0
24.425.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.4
End1.1
red by 4.0
8729
#17
24.71.5
20.421.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Second
2013
#45
18.61.0
16.217.2
Auto8.6
Teleop9.5
End0.5
red by 3.1
5036
#28
15.51.5
14.115.5
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.4
Third
4992
#38
15.01.0
11.412.4
Auto5.8
Teleop5.7
End3.5
red by 2.4
3543
#43
12.61.5
12.213.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed