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Red92
403942.4
790216.5
128522.2
Blue76
270627.8
616219.6
133420.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79720501001502009276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.41.4
39.641.0
Auto12.5
Teleop26.7
End3.3
red by 14.7
2706
#15
27.80.6
27.428.1
Auto12.0
Teleop12.6
End3.2
Second
1285
#11
22.21.4
17.218.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.6
End4.1
red by 1.4
1334
#32
20.80.6
21.422.0
Auto9.0
Teleop8.8
End3.1
Third
7902
#36
16.51.4
14.115.5
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.3
blue by 3.0
6162
#30
19.60.6
17.618.2
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed