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Red65
18821.1
765914.8
495115.2
Blue80
491732.3
750913.7
502427.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378802060801001201406580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188
#25
21.11.5
15.116.6
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
blue by 11.2
32.30.2
32.032.2
Auto9.2
Teleop20.9
End2.2
Second
4951
#29
15.21.5
12.413.8
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
blue by 12.2
5024
#14
27.30.2
28.028.2
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
7659
#41
14.81.5
11.713.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
red by 1.1
7509
#46
13.70.2
13.213.4
Auto7.7
Teleop3.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned