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Red96
752021.7
406923.1
909831.4
Blue84
490319.7
447637.7
765914.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84722040601001201401609684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.40.4
32.231.8
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End3.7
blue by 6.3
37.70.6
34.835.4
Auto11.6
Teleop23.2
End3.0
Second
23.10.4
20.520.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.8
End2.5
red by 3.4
4903
#23
19.70.6
18.719.3
Auto8.1
Teleop10.9
End0.7
Third
7520
#26
21.70.4
21.821.4
Auto9.4
Teleop9.0
End3.3
red by 6.9
7659
#41
14.80.6
13.213.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned29%Ensemble oddsMissed