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Red96
956913.3
906225.8
18821.1
Blue65
790216.5
872924.7
616219.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55622040801001209665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9062
#27
25.82.4
23.425.7
Auto11.2
Teleop13.4
End1.2
red by 1.1
8729
#17
24.70.6
21.922.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End2.7
Second
188
#25
21.12.4
16.618.9
Auto6.5
Teleop14.0
End0.6
red by 1.5
6162
#30
19.60.6
18.218.8
Auto5.9
Teleop13.3
End0.4
Third
9569
#22
13.32.4
10.813.2
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End1.3
blue by 3.2
7902
#36
16.50.6
15.516.1
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed