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Red64
540931.8
40159.3
876421.1
Blue94
316135.1
502427.3
495115.2
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648620401001201401606494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.1
29.129.1
Auto6.1
Teleop16.8
End8.9
blue by 3.3
3161
#20
35.11.3
33.034.3
Auto15.6
Teleop17.1
End2.4
Second
8764
#37
21.10.1
21.621.7
Auto8.1
Teleop10.5
End2.4
blue by 6.3
5024
#14
27.31.3
28.229.4
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.9
Third
4015
#35
9.30.1
10.210.2
Auto2.4
Teleop5.5
End1.4
blue by 5.9
4951
#29
15.21.3
13.815.1
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned32%Ensemble oddsMissed